At Gerard Associates Ltd we continue our daily look at factors affecting markets and currencies allowing some insight into conditions affecting exchange rates.

Cash and income timing from a UK Pension or QROPS (Qualifying Recognised Overseas Pension Scheme) should be considered to maximise the Pension, QROPS and investment income taken.

Investment market volatility and currency exchange remains a challenge. The global economics are volatile and unprecedented in history. Currency exchange continues to concern expats with UK Pensions, QROPS and now QNUPS (Qualifying non UK Pension schemes).

Sterling seemed to be recovering against the euro and dollar on Friday as it reacheda high of €1.1631 against the euro up from the low of €1.1560 and $ 1.5963 againstthe dollar up from the low of $ 1.5839.

However the on-going concern over the UK’s fragile economy weighed on sentimentas the pound retraced some of its earlier day’s gains in afternoon trading.

Against the dollar, sterling was trading within a tight range. Analysts said it remainedconfined to a range, below a high of $ 1.5989 hit on Thursday and a low of $ 1.5750hit on Tuesday following a shock contraction in fourth quarter UK gross domesticproduct.

The UK saw further negative data as consumer confidence in January fell by itshighest level in almost 20 years as VAT reduced public spending.

Economists are now speculating that the Bank of England may not be able toincrease interest rates as growth in the UK slows, which was made apparent by therelease of the Q4 GDP figures on Tuesday which were considerably lower thanexpectations. Friday’s data will fuel concerns that the UK spending cuts will damagethe economy’s growth.

David Cameron said last week that the GDP data was to be expected and should notcome as a surprise.“Yes, they were partly driven by the terrible weather which shut down airports,factories and schools but let’s be frank, they also brought home something we havesaid for months: given the traumas of recent years, the recovery was always going tobe choppy.” Cameron said in a speech to the World Economic Forum in Switzerland.

“Martin Weale’s vote for higher rates in January is unlikely to be repeated inFebruary,” Lloydsanalysts said.”Sterling should consequently now be vulnerable to renewed declines, especiallyafter the consumer confidence data overnight, with the $ 1.60 level in GBP/USD nowlooking hard to breach on a sustained basis.”

Elsewhere the dollar advanced against the euro for the first time in nine days after agovernment report showed the US economic growth grew in Q4 this was mainly dueto consumer spending reaching its highest level in more than 4 years. The datashowed the US economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.2% from October throughto December. The dollar gained strength as investors retreated to its safe haven asworries over rising civil unrest in Egypt added to the worries over Middle Easterncountries in general.

Gerard Associates Ltd advises expats and people considering living abroad on the technical and currency options available for Pensions, QROPS, QNUPS and investments in a clear format allowing all customers to make an informed choice. Our service encompasses Pension including QROPS and QNUPS and investments in a clear format allowing all customers to make an informed choice.

This with the reassurance and security of UK FSA authorised and regulated advice – essential for your security.

Russel Mori writes for Gerard Associates LTD, for more information on QROPS, QROPS Pensions, QROPS List, QROPS providers, QROPS Guernsey info available online.

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  1. January

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